Mon, Jul 6, 2026 · 07:00 PM GMT · AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Based on previous scored predictions.
Expected goals estimate how many goals each team is statistically expected to score.
Spain are expected to create the stronger chance profile, with 2.1 expected goals compared with 1.5 for Portugal. Their advantage is built from the combined ranking, attack, defensive and recent-form signals in the model.
Portugal's best route is to keep the match level and turn lower-volume opportunities into high-impact moments. The 18% draw probability shows that the contest can remain competitive even with Spain favored.
If Spain score first, their projected win probability rises to approximately 72%. The forecast remains probabilistic, and a set piece, dismissal or early momentum swing can materially change the match state.
The statistical model projects 1.5 xG for Portugal against 2.12 for Spain, yielding 28% / 18% / 54%. Predicted score: 1-2 (high confidence).
Footora provides AI-powered football predictions and match analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. We do not provide betting advice, gambling services, odds-making, financial advice, or guaranteed outcomes. Predictions are generated by statistical models and may be inaccurate.
Illustrative match-state scenario based on the model, not a prediction of exact event timing.